Gary’s 2018 College Football Week 10 Gambling Picks (Against the Spread)
College FootballWeek 10! To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page! Air Force @ Army (-6.5)(Saturday / 11am / CBS Sports Network)
my metrics have Army by 13
Army won at Air Force 21-0 last year after being dominated by AF for nearly a decade
Army coach Jeff Monken has made it a point that they are going to beat the other service academies… and there’s no love loss between Army’s coaching staff and Air Force coach Troy Calhoun
Army is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games, and Air Force is 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6
Georgia @ Kentucky (+10)(Saturday / 2:30pm / CBS)
my numbers have Georgia -9, so no real factor here
Georgia is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite
Kentucky is 6-4 ATS, winning 5 straight up, in their last 10 games as an underdog
Kentucky only gives up 3.3 yds per run (#15 in the country), and only 4.59 yds per play (#13 total defense), which will stifle the Georgia offense
Kentucky has done a good job of protecting the football (+4 turnover margin in the last 4 games)
I think Kentucky matches up better with Georgia than they did with Missouri… and they beat Missouri on the road
Iowa (+3) @ Purdue(Saturday / 2:30pm / ESPN2)
my numbers have Iowa as a 3 point favorite… WRONG TEAM FAVORED.
Iowa is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog
Purdue has not beaten a team with a top 50 defense (#50 Northwestern, #41 Michigan St), and Iowa is #4 in total defense
Look for Iowa to run the football, dominate time of possession, and limit Purdue’s opportunities. I’m expecting some interceptions by David Blough, and Iowa wins straight up.
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