Gary’s 2018 NFL Week 9 Gambling Picks (Against the Spread)

Gary’s picks

NFL Football

Week 9!  To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page!


Lions @ Vikings (-4)   (Sunday / 12pm CT / FOX)  

  • this line opened at Vikings -7 on Monday morning, and was bet down to Vikings -4 by Tuesday morning – public is all over the Lions here
  • metrics have this at Vikings by 7, so it was right on the number before the line was bet down
  • the Vikings are 9-0 ATS the last 9 seasons in the week before a bye, and they need this one to get to 5-3-1 and stay alive in the NFC North.


Falcons @ Redskins (-1.5)   (Sunday / 12pm CT / FOX)  

  • the Falcons defense is the cure for teams that need to get their passing game going, and Alex Smith will find plenty of holes in the ATL secondary – Falcons give up over 300 yds passing per game
  • Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home, while the Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road
  • the Falcons cannot run the ball, and they’re not going to start against the Redskins, who only give up 3.8 yds per carry, and right at 80 rushing yds per game


Chiefs (-9) @ Browns   (Sunday / 12pm CT / CBS)  

  • The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS this season, and are looking to bounce back after not covering vs Broncos last week
  • Browns are 6-22 ATS after 2 consecutive losses the last 3 seasons
  • metrics have this as Chiefs -12
  • there’s nobody to run the offense for the Browns, as HC Hue Jackson and OC Todd Haley were both fired this week.  New OC Freddie Kitchens was the running backs coach, and has never called plays at any level


Steelers (+3) @ Ravens  (Sunday / 12pm CT / CBS)  

  • this line looked a little funny when it opened at Ravens -3, as the Ravens have lost 2 straight
  • I still like the Steelers here, as they’ve won, and covered, 3 straight games
  • Ravens offense has fallen off since winning at Pitt at the end of September –
  • Ravens have 9 guys that are questionable for this game – lots of small, nagging injuries – and the Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS the last 6 years in games the week before a bye


Rams @ Saints (-1.5)   (Sunday / 3:25pm CT / NBC)

  • the Saints are 10-0 ATS in October the last 3 seasons
  • metrics have this as Saints -3
  • Rams have played with fire multiple times this year (2 pt win vs Packers, 2 pt win vs Seahawks, 3 point win over Broncos) and they’re still undefeated – they’re going to get caught eventually, and New Orleans is playing lights out right now
About Gary Segars 1480 Articles
Gary began his first website in 1998 as a sophomore in high school, writing reviews of cds and live shows in the Memphis area. He became editor of his college newspaper, then moved towards a career in music.He started the infamous blog during the 2006 football season, and was lucky enough to get into blogging just before the coaching search that landed Nick Saban at Alabama. The month and a half long coaching search netted his site, which was known for tracking airplanes, over 1 million hits in less than 90 days. The website introduced Gary to tons of new friends, including Nico and Todd, who had just started the site diving into more than just Alabama news, Gary started up his first installment of in 2012. After keeping the site quiet for a while, it was started back up in April 2016. Gary then joined forces with high school friend Chris Giannini and began a podcast during the 2016 football season that runs at least 2 times a week, focusing on college football, NFL football, and sports wagering, and diving into other sports and pop-culture topics.E-mail: Twitter: @GaryWCE