Gary’s 2018 Week 3 College Football Picks (Against the Spread)

Gary’s picks

College Football

Week 3!  To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page!

Hawaii @ Army (-6.5) (Saturday / 11am / CBS Sports Network)  

  • this game starts at 6am local time in Honolulu!  And a non-stop flight from Honolulu to West Point, NY last 9 hours 30 minutes.  BODY CLOCK GAME.
  • Hawaii is giving up 5.21 yds per run, and they’re giving up 34.7ppg.
  • Even giving up 307 yds passing to Liberty, they still only gave up 14 points last Saturday.

 

Tulane (-4) @ UAB  (Saturday / 12:00pm / Facebook-Stadium)

  • UAB is giving up 5.57 ypc rushing on the season & gave up 296 yds (6.88ypc!) to Coastal Carolina last week
  • Tulane is averaging 5.10 ypc after 2 games… and that’s with about 3 ypc against Wake Forest in week 1
  • Tulane’s triple option will run all over UAB Saturday
  • Willie Fritz is 42-28-3 ATS while Bill Clark is 15-9.  The line is short because UAB went 9-5-1 ATS in 2017 and overperformed.  This one won’t be close.

 

Miami OH @ Minnesota (-14)  (Saturday / 2:30pm / BTN)

  • Since the start of last season, Miami (OH) is 3-11 against the spread, including 0-2 so far this season.
  • Cincinnati beat Miami 21-0 last week, and Minnesota is much more talented than Cinci
  • Minnesota is already 2-0 against the spread this season in 2 wins.
  • Miami is only averaging 3.2 yds per carry this season, and a measly 5.7 yds per pass attempt.  Not good.  To make matters worse, Minnesota is only giving up 2.8ypc and 4.8yppa
  • PJ Fleck and the Gophers are going to cover 14 with ease.

 

Miami FL @ Toledo (+10)   (Saturday / 11am / ESPN2)

  • Toledo’s fans will pack their stadium out for this one, so it should make for a pretty hostile environment.
  • Mark Richt is 6-9 ATS since the beginning of 2017, and are only 2-2 against the spread as a road favorite in that span
  • advanced metrics say that Miami should only be about a 6 or 7 point favorite in this game, and a lot of efficiency metrics say that Toledo should win this game straight up.

 

Oregon St (+4) @ Nevada   (Saturday / 6pm / espn3)

  • Oregon St’s offense is significantly improved under new head coach, and former Washington OC, Jonathan Smith
  • Oregon st is averaging 6.6 yds per carry and 8.8 yds per pass attempt – it was 5.0 ypc and 14.0 yppa at Ohio St (571 yds total)!
  • Nevada is still getting value from their 72-19 win over Portland St, who is awful.  Remember, Nevada was 3-9 in 2017!

 

Oklahoma (-17.5) @ Iowa St   (Saturday / 11am / ABC)

  • Iowa St beat Oklahoma 48-41 in Norman last season.  The game is in Aimes this year.
  • This season, however, Iowa St only scored 3 points in their first game of the season at Iowa in a 13-3 loss.
  • Sr QB Kyle Kempt is out for this game for Iowa St – replaced by Zeb Noland, who went 4/10 for 43 yds passing vs Iowa
  • Noland’s stats in backup duty in 2017: 36/66 533 yds, 2 TDs, 1 int vs Northern Iowa, Kansas, Oklahoma St, @ Baylor
  • this is a revenge game, and Lincoln Riley strikes me as the kinda guy that will take losses personally and try to embarrass teams the next time around, if he can.  I think he can here.

 

Boston College @ Wake Forest (+7)   (Thursday / 5:30pm / ESPN)

  • Wake Forest’s defense is actually pretty good, only giving up 3.06 yds per carry, and they held Tulane – a triple option team – to only 155 yds rushing
  • Never bet against a home underdog on Thursday night on ESPN!  Those underdogs of 6.5 points or more are 14-2 against the number since 2013
  • Weeknight home underdogs – Monday through Friday – are 190-144 ATS since 2005.
  • Wake Forest is 2-0-1 ATS as a home dog since 2016.


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About Gary Segars 592 Articles
Gary began his first website in 1998 as a sophomore in high school, writing reviews of cds and live shows in the Memphis area. He became editor of his college newspaper, then moved towards a career in music.He started the infamous MemphisTider.com blog during the 2006 football season, and was lucky enough to get into blogging just before the coaching search that landed Nick Saban at Alabama. The month and a half long coaching search netted his site, which was known for tracking airplanes, over 1 million hits in less than 90 days. The website introduced Gary to tons of new friends, including Nico and Todd, who had just started the site RollBamaRoll.com.After diving into more than just Alabama news, Gary started up his first installment of WinningCuresEverything.com in 2012. After keeping the site quiet for a while, it was started back up in April 2016. Gary then joined forces with high school friend Chris Giannini and began a podcast during the 2016 football season that runs at least 2 times a week, focusing on college football, NFL football, and sports wagering, and diving into other sports and pop-culture topics.E-mail: gary@winningcureseverything.com Twitter: @GaryWCE