www.youtube.com/watch?v=5SA67Ib8ZYI%5B/embedyt%5D
Gary’s picks
NFL Football
Week 5! To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page!
Packers (-1.5) @ Lions (Sunday / 12pm CT / FOX)
- Green Bay is 8-1 ATS in Detroit in the last 9 years
- Lions are giving up 5.3 rushing yds per carry, and 6.9 yds per pass attempt – Green Bay will be able to move the football
- Packers are +1 in turnover margin, and the Lions are -4
Rams @ Seattle (+7.5) (Sunday / 3:25pm CT / FOX)
- Seattle is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games as an underdog
- there is a TON of hype on the Rams right now, and teams generally dip at some point
Cardinals @ 49ers (-4.5) (Sunday / 3:25pm CT / FOX)
- Yes, Jimmy G is out… but CJ Breathard is actually pretty good. He was the starter for quite a while last year.
- 49ers can actually run the ball – averaging 133 rushing yds per game and 5.2 ypc
- Cardinals are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 as a road dog – the only 2 covers were against Seattle
Broncos @ Jets (-1) (Sunday / 12pm CT / CBS)
- since 2016, the Broncos are 6-12 ATS after a loss, and 4-8 ATS as a road underdog
- Denver has to travel East for a noon game on a short week
- the Jets running game will be able to open up the passing game a bit for Sam Darnold
- close game, but I think the Jets pull this one out
Titans (-3) @ Bills (Sunday / 12pm CT / CBS)
- since 2016, the Bills are 2-5 ATS as a home underdog
- Tennessee is 3-1 ATS this season, and Buffalo is 1-3 – bettors are still not sold on the Titans
- Buffalo’s offense only averages 4.0 yds per play… take out the inexplicable 27-6 win at Minnesota, the Bills are averaging only 7.67 pts per game
- Titans won’t have to score much to be able to cover this line
