Gary’s 2018 Week 6 College Football Picks (Against the Spread)

Gary’s picks

College Football

Week 6!  To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page!

Texas (+7.5) vs Oklahoma   (Saturday / 11am / FOX)  

  • Neutral site game every year – 50% Texas fans / 50 % Oklahoma.
  • both teams are 2-3 ATS this season
  • Tom Herman is 22-1 ATS as an underdog in his career (asst coach to head coach) 
  • Texas is 5-0 ATS vs Oklahoma the last 5 years, with 2 outright wins
  • the actual numbers lean Oklahoma to cover… but they’ve done that the last 5 years.

Georgia Tech @ Louisville (+3.5)   (Friday / 6pm / ESPN)

  • Georgia Tech is 0-7 ATS as a road favorite since 2015 (0-2 this year with straight up losses at South Florida and at Pitt)
  • Louisville is a weeknight home underdog on ESPN
  • both teams are only 1-4 ATS this season
  • Louisville should be able to score on GT’s defense, and will have an intense week of practice after giving away the game to Florida St last week

East Carolina @ Temple (-11.5)   (Saturday / 11am / ESPN News)

  • Temple is 15-3 ATS vs conference opponents in their last 18 games
  • ECU is 0-8 ATS in road games with 6 days or less rest in the last 3 seasons
  • Temple’s defense has shown up the last 3 weeks & are only giving up 187 yds passing per game (which is East Carolina’s strength)

Iowa (-6) @ Minnesota   (Saturday / 2:30pm / BTN)

  • I think Iowa has the better players at every single position on the field
  • Iowa is coming off a bye, while Minnesota got routed 42-13 at Maryland last week
  • Minnesota’s defense is giving up almost 5 yds per rush (and they gave up 315 yds rushing to Maryland)
  • Minnesota’s offense is only generating 4.7 ypp
  • Minnesota has lost 2 major contributors (RB Rodney Smith & S Antoine Winfield
  • Iowa is only giving up 1.3 yds per rush to every opponent not named Wisconsin
  • since 2015, Iowa is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite

Kentucky (+5.5) @ Texas A&M   (Saturday / 6pm / ESPN)

  • Kentucky is 7-3 ATS as a road underdog since 2016
  • Texas A&M is only 3-5-1 ATS as a home underdog in SEC games since 2012
  • Kentucky’s turnover margin is 0, while A&M’s is -5.
  • Both teams can move the ball (A&M: 6.7ypp, KY: 6.2ypp), but Kentucky’s defense only gives up 4.4ypp while A&M gives up 6.3ypp

Nebraska @ Wisconsin (-20.5)   (Saturday / 6:30pm / BTN)

  • Wisconsin is 7-1 ATS at home after a bye
  • Nebraska is 0-4 ATS this season, and they’re giving up 5.6ypp
  • Michigan’s defense held Nebraska’s offense to 132 yds of total offense… not saying Wisconsin’s defense is as good as Michigan’s, but they could do very similar
  • Wisconsin is +4 in turnover margin, while Nebraska is -6
  • Wisconsin only gives up 14.5 pts per game, while Nebraska gives up 38.8ppg

Washington (-21) @ UCLA   (Saturday / 6:30pm / FOX)

  • since 2015, UCLA has been a home underdog only 3 times, and they’re 0-3 ATS in those games
  • Washington is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite in their last 7
  • UCLA is giving up 7.9 yds per play, while Washington only gives up 4.2
  • Washington has given up a TD or less 3 times this year, and no more than 21 points (that was to Auburn in Atlanta) – UCLA is only averaging 17 pts per game.
About Gary Segars 1465 Articles
Gary began his first website in 1998 as a sophomore in high school, writing reviews of cds and live shows in the Memphis area. He became editor of his college newspaper, then moved towards a career in music.He started the infamous blog during the 2006 football season, and was lucky enough to get into blogging just before the coaching search that landed Nick Saban at Alabama. The month and a half long coaching search netted his site, which was known for tracking airplanes, over 1 million hits in less than 90 days. The website introduced Gary to tons of new friends, including Nico and Todd, who had just started the site diving into more than just Alabama news, Gary started up his first installment of in 2012. After keeping the site quiet for a while, it was started back up in April 2016. Gary then joined forces with high school friend Chris Giannini and began a podcast during the 2016 football season that runs at least 2 times a week, focusing on college football, NFL football, and sports wagering, and diving into other sports and pop-culture topics.E-mail: Twitter: @GaryWCE