Gary’s picks

NFL Football

Week 6!  To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page!

Steelers (+2.5) @ Bengals   (Sunday / 12pm CT / CBS)  

  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a road dog at Cincinnati
  • Cinci is only 3-4 ATS in the last 2 seasons as a home favorite
  • this is the time of year that Cinci always seems to slow down, and the Steelers seemed to find themselves against the Falcons last week

 

Rams (-6.5) @ Broncos   (Sunday / 3:05pm CT / FOX)  

  • Broncos are 2-3 ATS as a home dog in their last 5
  • Broncos are 13-22-2 ATS in all games since 2016
  • Rams are #1 in total offense, Broncose are #26 in total defense
  • metrics have Rams favored by 9

 

Ravens @ Titans (+3)   (Sunday / 3:25pm CT / CBS)  

  • Tennessee is 4-0 ATS as a home underdog in their last 4, with 3 outright wins
  • Ravens are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 as a road favorite
  • Ravens are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 on the road vs AFC South

 

Chargers (-1.5) @ Browns   (Sunday / 12pm CT / CBS)  

  • Phillip Rivers vs Baker Mayfield… I’m taking Rivers every time at this point in their careers
  • Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a road favorite, including 3 straight covers
  • Browns have the #27 total defense in the NFL, Chargers have #7 total offense

 

Panthers (+1) @ Redskins   (Sunday / 12pm CT / FOX)

  • Panthers are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog
  • Redskins are 3-4 ATS in their last 7 as home favorites
  • Panthers are #1 in the NFL in rushing offense, and #5 in the NFL in turnovers gained.  Washington is #6 in stopping the run, and #20 in turnovers gained
  • I think the Panthers win this outright