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www.youtube.com/watch/maxresdefault.jpg" />Gary’s picks
College Football
Week 8! To keep up with our record for the year, along with results from each game we pick, please visit our Gambling Picks page!
Maryland @ Iowa (-12) (currently -9.5) (Saturday / 11am / ESPN2)
- Iowa is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite
- Maryland is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 as a road underdog
- Iowa is 5-1 ATS this year
- Metrics have Iowa as 14.6 pt favorites
- the public is all over Maryland right now, which makes me feel even better about this game
- Maryland, aside from the win over Texas in the 1st game, has gotten hammered by Temple and Michigan. Their wins have been over these teams:
- Bowling Green (1-5)
- Minnesota (3-3, who is on a 3 game losing streak since losing their star running back)
- Rutgers (1-6)
- gimme the Hawkeyes all day
Miami (OH) @ Army (-9) (currently -8) (Saturday / 11am / CBSSN)
- a non-conference game for Miami (OH), who will probably not put too much effort into this game because they’re in their conference race, and they have to play Buffalo next
- oddsmakers still have not caught up to Army. The Cadets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- metrics have Army winning this game by 16
Eastern Michigan (-4.5) @ Ball St (currently EMU -3) (Saturday / 2pm / ESPN+)
- last 3 seasons, Eastern Michigan is 8-0 ATS in October road games
- EMU is 14-3 on the road since 2016
- Ball St is only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 as a home underdog
- metrics have Eastern Michigan winning by 7
NC State (+17) @ Clemson (Saturday / 2:30pm / ESPN)
- my metrics have Clemson only favored by 14
- Clemson is 7-11-1 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite (0-3 ATS in 2018)
- NC State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs Clemson, including covering the last 2 years
- Clemson has trouble with teams that can throw the football (Texas A&M, Syracuse) – NC State is #6 in the country in passing offense
Oregon @ Washington St (+2) (currently -3) (Saturday / 6:30pm / FOX)
- Washington St is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a home underdog
- WSU is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, including 6-0 this year
- since 2016, Oregon is 3-11-1 ATS after a win, and 3-8-1 as a road team
- with College Gameday in town, the Ducks are going into a buzzsaw in Pullman, WA. Homefield advantage will be intense.
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky (-11.5) (Saturday / 6:30pm / SECN)
- Kentucky is 2-0 SU & ATS vs Vandy in their last 2 meetings, including a 44-21 beatdown in Nashville in 2017
- Vandy is 1-9-1 ATS vs SEC teams since 2017
- Vandy is giving up an average of 280+ rushing yds per game in those 9 losses & 1 push
- Vandy can’t stop the run, Kentucky is coming off a bye… this should be a blood bath
Fresno St (-15) @ New Mexico (currently Fresno -13.5) (Saturday / 7:30pm / ESPNU)
- Fresno St is 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games
- New Mexico is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
- metrics have Fresno St -18
- Jeff Tedford and his defense will keep things rolling, and they should beat up on this New Mexico team, even on the road
