Purdue vs Oregon State (Week 4): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Week 4 of the college football season brings us a late-night showdown between the Purdue Boilermakers and the Oregon State Beavers. Both teams are looking to bounce back after disappointing performances in Week 3, with Purdue suffering a blowout loss to Notre Dame and Oregon State falling hard to Oregon. This matchup, set in Corvallis, promises an exciting clash between two teams eager to prove themselves.

Here’s everything you need to know, including how to watch, betting odds, predictions, and a deep dive into what to expect on Saturday night.

TV Channel & Kickoff Time

The Purdue vs Oregon State game kicks off at 8:30 PM Eastern Time and will be broadcast on the CW Network. Fans can catch all the action under the lights at Reser Stadium as these two teams look to get back on track.

• Kickoff Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: CW Network

Betting Odds

As of now, Oregon State is favored by 4.5 points at home. The moneyline for Purdue is +167, offering potential value for those who believe the Boilermakers can pull off the upset. The total for the game is set at 50 points, reflecting expectations for a moderately high-scoring affair.

• Spread: Oregon State -4.5
• Moneyline: Purdue +167, Oregon State -200
• Total (Over/Under): 50 points

What is the Betting Spread?

The betting spread is the predicted margin of victory set by oddsmakers. In this case, Oregon State is favored by 4.5 points. To cover the spread, Oregon State needs to win by 5 points or more. If Purdue loses by 4 points or fewer, or wins outright, they will cover the spread.

What is the Total?

The total, also known as the over/under, represents the predicted combined score of both teams. For this game, the total is set at 50 points. Bettors can wager on whether they believe the combined score will go over or under this number.

What is the Moneyline?

The moneyline is a straightforward bet on which team will win the game outright, without factoring in the spread. For Purdue, the moneyline is +167, meaning a $100 bet would return $167 if the Boilermakers win. Oregon State’s moneyline is -200, meaning you’d need to bet $200 to win $100 on the Beavers.

Implied Score Based on Betting Odds

Using the spread and total, the implied score for this game is approximately Oregon State 27, Purdue 23. This suggests a competitive game, with Oregon State expected to have the edge, but Purdue still keeping it close.

Injury Report

At this time, neither team has reported any major injuries that would significantly impact the outcome of the game. Purdue quarterback Hudson Card has been inconsistent but remains healthy, and Oregon State’s offense, led by DJ Uiagalelei, is intact. Both teams will be looking for a bounce-back performance after their struggles in Week 3.

In-Depth Game Analysis

This game provides a fascinating contrast of styles. Oregon State, led by head coach Jonathan Smith, focuses on a balanced attack and a strong running game, while Purdue’s offense, under new head coach Ryan Walters, has relied more on the passing game, but struggled to protect their quarterback in recent weeks.

Purdue’s Offense vs. Oregon State’s Defense

Purdue’s offense, led by quarterback Hudson Card, has been inconsistent this season, particularly in their Week 3 loss to Notre Dame. Card was pressured heavily, being sacked four times and unable to find any rhythm. Purdue’s offensive line will need to step up significantly against Oregon State’s aggressive front seven.

Purdue ranks 132nd in overall EPA margin and has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball. Their running game has been a weak point, which puts additional pressure on Card to deliver in the passing game. If Oregon State’s defense, ranked 67th in EPA margin, can apply consistent pressure and disrupt Card’s timing, it could be a long night for the Boilermakers.

Oregon State’s Offense vs. Purdue’s Defense

Oregon State’s offense is built around their ground game, and they’ve excelled in running the football, ranking 30th in PPA per rush. Purdue’s defense has struggled to stop the run, ranking dead last in the nation (134th) in rushing defense. This mismatch is likely to be the deciding factor in the game, as Oregon State will look to control the clock and wear down Purdue’s defensive front.

Quarterback DJ Uiagalelei will also need to manage the game effectively, avoiding mistakes and keeping the offense on schedule. Oregon State’s methodical approach could allow them to dictate the pace of the game, forcing Purdue to play from behind.

Key Matchups

1. Purdue’s Offensive Line vs. Oregon State’s Pass Rush
   Purdue’s offensive line gave up significant pressure in their loss to Notre Dame, and they will face another test against Oregon State’s front seven. If Card can’t get time in the pocket, it could be a tough night for the Boilermakers’ offense.
2. Oregon State’s Rushing Attack vs. Purdue’s Run Defense
   Oregon State’s ability to run the football has been a key to their success this season, while Purdue’s defense has been poor against the run. If Oregon State can establish their running game early, they will control the tempo of the game and limit Purdue’s opportunities to score.
3. Hudson Card’s Decision-Making
   Card has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been inconsistent. Oregon State will look to pressure him and force him into mistakes. Card will need to make quick, smart decisions to keep Purdue’s offense moving.

Predictions & Picks

This game seems to favor Oregon State due to their balanced offense and ability to run the ball, which matches up well against Purdue’s defensive weaknesses. While Purdue has potential, their inconsistency, particularly on the offensive line, makes it difficult to trust them in a hostile road environment.

Prediction:
Oregon State 31, Purdue 21. Oregon State’s ability to control the line of scrimmage and run the ball effectively will be the deciding factor. Expect the Beavers to pull away in the second half.

Pick:
Oregon State -4.5. Oregon State’s strong running game and Purdue’s struggles against the run make the Beavers the safer pick. The under 50 points also looks like a solid play, as both teams could struggle to generate big plays.

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