Maryland vs Indiana (Week 5): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Maryland vs Indiana (Week 5): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

The Indiana Hoosiers, led by head coach Kurt Cignetti, are hosting the Maryland Terrapins in a pivotal Big Ten matchup. Indiana has surprised many with their strong start, and this game gives them a chance to further solidify their position in the conference. Meanwhile, Maryland, led by interim quarterback Billy Edwards Jr., will look to get back on track after a mixed start to the season. This game promises to be an exciting showdown between two programs looking to make their mark in the Big Ten.

Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the game, including where to watch, betting odds, and a deep analysis of what to expect.

How to Watch Maryland vs Indiana

  • Game Date: Saturday, Week 5
  • Kickoff Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN

Catch all the action on Big Ten Network as the Indiana Hoosiers welcome the Maryland Terrapins to Memorial Stadium for a noon Eastern kickoff.

Betting Odds and Line Breakdown

  • Spread: Indiana -7
  • Moneyline: Maryland +235, Indiana -285
  • Total Points (Over/Under): 55.5

Indiana enters the game as a 7-point favorite at home, while Maryland comes in as a +235 underdog. The over/under for total points is set at 55.5, indicating the possibility of a high-scoring affair between these two Big Ten rivals.

Betting Spread

The spread is a bet on how much a team will win by. In this game, Indiana is favored by 7 points, meaning they need to win by at least 8 points to cover the spread. If you bet on Maryland, they would need to either win the game outright or lose by fewer than 7 points for your bet to win. Indiana’s strong start and balance on both offense and defense make them the favored choice.

Moneyline

The moneyline is a bet on which team will win outright. Indiana’s -285 moneyline means you’d need to bet $285 to win $100 if they win, while Maryland’s +235 line means a $100 bet would return $235 if they pull off the upset. Given Indiana’s momentum, the moneyline heavily favors the Hoosiers, but Maryland presents a decent value for those looking to bet on an underdog.

Total Points (Over/Under)

The total points bet, also known as the over/under, is a wager on the combined score of both teams. The over/under is set at 55.5 points, meaning bettors can wager on whether the total score will be over or under that number. With Indiana’s efficient offense and Maryland’s ability to score points, the over could be a solid bet in this matchup.

Implied Score and Game Analysis

With a 7-point spread and an over/under of 55.5, the implied final score is Indiana 31, Maryland 24. This suggests a fairly close game, with Indiana’s defense expected to hold off Maryland’s offense just enough to secure the win.

Indiana’s Offense vs. Maryland’s Defense

Indiana’s offense has been a revelation this season, ranking 6th in PPA (Predicted Points Added) margin. Quarterback Curtis Roer has been leading a balanced attack, and the offensive line has been much improved, ranking 17th in havoc rate allowed. Indiana’s success has been driven by a mix of run and pass, making them difficult to stop for opposing defenses.

Maryland’s defense, however, has struggled to maintain consistency. While Billy Edwards Jr. has filled in admirably at quarterback, Maryland’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in the secondary, which has been weakened by injuries. They rank 68th in passing explosiveness allowed, a weakness that Indiana will likely exploit with their well-balanced attack.

Maryland’s Offense vs. Indiana’s Defense

Maryland’s offense has been led by Billy Edwards Jr., who has been efficient, but the Terrapins have struggled to maintain offensive consistency, especially against stronger opponents. They rank 23rd in EPA per play, largely due to their passing game, but Indiana’s defense has proven to be strong against the run, ranking 24th in defensive success rate.

Indiana’s defense has been getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks, with 12 sacks already this season. This will likely pose a problem for Maryland’s offensive line, which has struggled to protect the quarterback at times. Maryland will need to find creative ways to move the ball against a Hoosiers defense that has been solid in both early and late downs.

Injury Report

  • Indiana: The Hoosiers are mostly healthy heading into this matchup, which will allow them to continue their balanced attack on both sides of the ball.
  • Maryland: Maryland has dealt with injuries, particularly on defense, which could hurt their chances against Indiana’s balanced offense. Key players like linebacker Ruben Hyppolite and defensive back Jakorian Bennett may not be at full strength.

Detailed Game Breakdown

Key Matchup: Indiana’s Balanced Offense vs. Maryland’s Inconsistent Defense

The key to this game will be how well Indiana’s offense can exploit Maryland’s weakened defense. Curtis Roer has been efficient, and Indiana’s offensive line has protected him well, allowing the Hoosiers to keep defenses off balance with their run-pass mix. Maryland’s defense has been susceptible to both the run and the pass, so Indiana should be able to move the ball effectively and control the pace of the game.

Maryland’s Struggle to Keep Up

Maryland has shown flashes of potential, particularly with Billy Edwards Jr. at quarterback. However, the Terrapins have struggled against stronger competition, and Indiana’s defense will likely pose significant challenges. If Maryland can’t establish the run or protect Edwards, they could find themselves playing from behind, making it difficult to close the gap.

Coaching Battle: Cignetti vs. Locksley

Indiana head coach Kurt Cignetti has done an excellent job of turning the program around this season. His offensive and defensive schemes have been well-executed, and Indiana’s balance on both sides of the ball has allowed them to dominate weaker opponents. Maryland’s Mike Locksley will need to make adjustments to counter Indiana’s strong start, particularly on defense, if the Terrapins hope to keep this game close.

Betting Pick and Final Prediction

Indiana has been playing like a team on a mission, and their balance on offense and defense should allow them to control this game from start to finish. Maryland has the ability to make plays, but they’ve struggled against stronger opponents, and Indiana’s improved offensive line and solid defense should be enough to cover the spread.

Prediction: Indiana 34, Maryland 24

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