Oklahoma State vs Kansas State (Week 5): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Oklahoma State vs Kansas State (Week 5): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

In a pivotal Big 12 matchup, the Kansas State Wildcats host the Oklahoma State Cowboys in a game that could shape the trajectory of the season for both teams. Both squads are coming off disappointing performances in Week 4 and will be looking to bounce back strong in this Week 5 showdown. This game could play a major role in the Big 12 title race, making it a must-watch event for college football fans.

Here’s a detailed breakdown of the odds, predictions, key matchups, and how you can catch the action.

How to Watch Oklahoma State vs Kansas State

  • Game Date: Saturday, Week 5
  • Kickoff Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS

Fans can catch this Big 12 clash live on ESPN, with kickoff set for noon Eastern Time at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas, affectionately known as “The Little Apple.”

Betting Odds and Line Breakdown

  • Spread: Kansas State -5
  • Moneyline: Oklahoma State +170, Kansas State -200
  • Total Points (Over/Under): 54.5

The Wildcats come into this game as 5-point favorites, while Oklahoma State is a +170 underdog. The total points (over/under) is set at 54.5, suggesting a moderately high-scoring game between these two conference foes.

Betting Spread

The spread represents how much a team is favored to win by. Kansas State is favored by 5 points, meaning they need to win by 6 or more points to cover the spread. If you bet on Oklahoma State, the Cowboys need to either win outright or lose by fewer than 5 points to cover. Kansas State’s efficient running game and home-field advantage make them the slight favorite in this matchup.

Moneyline

The moneyline is a simple bet on which team will win outright. Kansas State is the favorite at -200, meaning a $200 bet would return $100 if the Wildcats win. On the other hand, Oklahoma State is a +170 underdog, meaning a $100 bet would return $170 if they manage to pull off the upset. Given Oklahoma State’s inconsistency, Kansas State is a safer pick for moneyline bettors.

Total Points (Over/Under)

The total points bet, or over/under, is a wager on the combined score of both teams. For this game, the over/under is set at 54.5 points. Bettors can wager on whether the total points scored will be over or under this number. Both teams have shown offensive flashes, but with Kansas State’s stout defense and Oklahoma State’s struggles on offense, many might lean toward the under.

Implied Score and Game Analysis

With the 5-point spread and the over/under set at 54.5, the implied score for the game is Kansas State 30, Oklahoma State 25. This reflects a relatively close contest, but Kansas State is favored to come out on top.

Kansas State’s Offense vs. Oklahoma State’s Defense

Kansas State’s rushing attack has been one of the best in the country, ranking 12th in PPA (Predicted Points Added) per rush. The Wildcats will look to exploit Oklahoma State’s struggling rush defense, which ranks 74th in PPA allowed per rush. Kansas State’s ability to control the clock and keep the chains moving on the ground will be crucial in this game. Running back DJ Giddens has been a key factor for the Wildcats, and he should be able to find success against Oklahoma State’s defense.

Oklahoma State’s defense, despite some bright spots, has struggled to stop the run, giving up 4.53 yards per carry this season. This could be a major weakness that Kansas State will look to exploit, especially with the Wildcats’ ability to sustain long drives. Kansas State should be able to control the pace of the game by leaning on their ground game.

Oklahoma State’s Offense vs. Kansas State’s Defense

Oklahoma State’s offense has been inconsistent, with quarterback Alan Bowman yet to find his rhythm. The Cowboys have also struggled to generate a consistent rushing attack, largely due to issues with their offensive line. Running back Ollie Gordon, who was a bright spot last season, has seen a dramatic drop in production, largely due to a lack of blocking up front. This season, Gordon is averaging just 0.5 yards before contact, a steep decline from his 2.5-yard average last year.

Kansas State’s defense has been strong against the run, ranking 27th in EPA per rush allowed. If Oklahoma State can’t establish the run, they may struggle to generate any offensive rhythm, putting more pressure on Bowman to carry the load. Kansas State’s defense is likely to force Oklahoma State into difficult third-down situations, which could lead to turnovers and key stops.

Injury Report

  • Kansas State: The Wildcats enter this game relatively healthy, with no major injuries to report. Their full-strength roster will be a major advantage as they look to impose their will on the Cowboys.
  • Oklahoma State: The Cowboys have dealt with some inconsistency on the offensive line, which has impacted their run game. While no major injuries have been reported, the struggles in the trenches have had a noticeable impact on their offensive production.

Detailed Game Breakdown

Key Matchup: Kansas State Rushing Attack vs. Oklahoma State Rushing Defense

The biggest key to this game will be how well Oklahoma State’s defense can contain Kansas State’s rushing attack. Kansas State ranks 12th in PPA per rush, while Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled to stop the run. If Kansas State can consistently move the ball on the ground, they’ll control the clock and wear down the Cowboys’ defense, limiting Oklahoma State’s opportunities to score.

Coaching Battle: Chris Klieman vs. Mike Gundy

Both Kansas State’s Chris Klieman and Oklahoma State’s Mike Gundy are highly respected coaches with proven track records. Klieman has been excellent at home, and his Wildcats are known for playing physical, disciplined football. Gundy, on the other hand, has built a reputation for turning out high-powered offenses, but his team has struggled this season. This coaching matchup will be critical in determining which team can adjust and execute a winning game plan.

Final Prediction: Kansas State’s Defense and Rushing Attack Prevail

Kansas State’s strong rushing attack and home-field advantage should be enough to carry them to victory. Oklahoma State’s offensive struggles, particularly in the run game, will likely make it difficult for them to keep up with the Wildcats. Expect Kansas State to control the pace and wear down Oklahoma State, securing a comfortable win.

Prediction: Kansas State 31, Oklahoma State 20

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