Week 10 College Football Preview: Predictions, Picks, and Where to Watch
Week 10 College Football Preview: Predictions, Picks, and Where to Watch
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Game 1: Georgia vs Florida
- Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Betting Odds: Georgia -16, Total 52.5, Florida Moneyline +550
- Implied Score: Georgia 34, Florida 18
Preview
The annual rivalry between the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators is one of college football’s most thrilling spectacles, and this year, Georgia enters as the clear favorite. After a buy week, Georgia looks refreshed, ready to assert its dominance, and avoid any potential trap game. Florida, on the other hand, has shown steady improvement, particularly with their freshman quarterback, DJ Lagway.
In-Depth Analysis
Georgia’s defense ranks among the top in the nation, presenting a formidable challenge to Florida’s offense. Though Florida has performed better recently, the Gators struggle in high-pressure situations, especially against aggressive defenses. Georgia, though known for explosive games, has played more conservatively at times, which could impact this game’s tempo.
- Georgia’s Key Strength: Defense, third in the nation in Havoc rate
- Florida’s Key Weakness: Havoc allowance ranks low, which could spell trouble if Georgia’s defense gets aggressive
Pick: Georgia -16
Total Prediction: Leaning under due to both teams’ slower offensive pace.
Game 2: Oregon at Michigan
- Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Betting Odds: Oregon -15, Total 45.5, Michigan Moneyline +500
- Implied Score: Oregon 30, Michigan 15
Preview
The Wolverines face a tough challenge in Oregon, whose #1-ranked offense has rolled over several formidable teams. Michigan’s strong ground game will try to counter Oregon’s pace, but quarterback DJ Uiagalelei will need to play an outstanding game to overcome the Ducks’ defense. The home crowd at Michigan’s Big House may be their biggest asset, but Oregon’s firepower is likely to prevail.
In-Depth Analysis
Oregon’s efficient offense, led by a Heisman contender, presents a challenge even Michigan’s defense might struggle to contain. Michigan’s secondary has shown weakness against fast-paced offenses, and Oregon’s ability to keep defenses on their heels will be a problem for the Wolverines.
- Oregon’s Key Strength: Explosive plays on offense, especially on third downs
- Michigan’s Key Weakness: Vulnerability to defensive breakdowns under pressure
Pick: Oregon -15
Total Prediction: Under 45.5 due to Michigan’s attempt to control clock.
Game 3: Texas A&M vs South Carolina
- Kickoff Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Betting Odds: Texas A&M -2.5, Total 44, South Carolina Moneyline +110
- Implied Score: Texas A&M 23, South Carolina 21
Preview
Texas A&M comes off a big win but is facing a potential letdown spot against South Carolina, whose defense has shown flashes of brilliance. At home, the Gamecocks have the crowd advantage, and their physical defensive style could give A&M’s offense problems, especially if they fall behind early.
In-Depth Analysis
South Carolina has relied heavily on the ground game, but Texas A&M’s defense, particularly against the run, is ranked among the best in the nation. This strength-on-strength matchup will likely keep the score low, but A&M’s consistency on both sides of the ball makes them slight favorites.
- Texas A&M’s Key Strength: Rushing defense, ranked seventh in the nation
- South Carolina’s Key Weakness: Offensive turnovers, especially costly fumbles
Pick: Texas A&M -2.5
Total Prediction: Under 44 due to each team’s defensive tendencies.
Game 4: Kansas State at Houston
- Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Betting Odds: Kansas State -13, Total 45.5, Houston Moneyline +390
- Implied Score: Kansas State 29, Houston 16
Preview
Kansas State has had an up-and-down season, but they look to build momentum with a road win against Houston. The Cougars have struggled on both sides of the ball, and Kansas State’s run-heavy offense could wear down Houston’s defense.
In-Depth Analysis
Kansas State’s offense ranks highly in rushing success, and Houston’s inability to stop the run will be a significant factor. Houston’s offense struggles to move the ball consistently, and the turnover-prone nature of their offense may give Kansas State the upper hand.
- Kansas State’s Key Strength: Offensive line, ranked top 20 in blocking and rush success
- Houston’s Key Weakness: Lack of offensive consistency and high turnover rates
Pick: Kansas State -13
Total Prediction: Lean under due to Kansas State’s ball control approach.
Game 5: Kentucky at Tennessee
- Kickoff Time: 7:45 PM ET
- TV Channel: SE Network
- Betting Odds: Tennessee -16.5, Total 45.5, Kentucky Moneyline +500
- Implied Score: Tennessee 31, Kentucky 14
Preview
Tennessee returns to action off a bye week, energized and ready to put on a show at home in their blackout uniforms for Halloween. Kentucky, on the other hand, has struggled to score recently, managing just 14 points in each of their last three games.
In-Depth Analysis
Tennessee’s offense has yet to hit its peak, but coming out of the bye, they may have worked out some kinks. Their defense has been stellar and ranks first in the nation for success rate. Kentucky’s offense has been underwhelming, relying heavily on the run despite little success in that area, and this will be an issue against Tennessee’s front four.
- Tennessee’s Key Strength: Defensive success rate, ranked first in the nation
- Kentucky’s Key Weakness: Struggling offense, especially passing game
Pick: Tennessee -16.5
Total Prediction: Lean under as Kentucky’s offense is not likely to score enough.
Game 6: Pitt at SMU
- Kickoff Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ACC Network
- Betting Odds: SMU -7.5, Total 58.5, Pitt Moneyline +240
- Implied Score: SMU 33, Pitt 25.5
Preview
In a clash between undefeated Pitt and SMU, both teams’ defenses rank among the best in the nation. Pitt has been able to win close games by limiting mistakes, while SMU’s high-tempo offense has often worn down opponents.
In-Depth Analysis
Pitt’s defense is excellent at forcing turnovers, while SMU’s offense ranks highly in pace and explosiveness. The game may hinge on whether SMU’s dynamic passing game can break through Pitt’s disciplined secondary. If SMU gets off to a hot start, they may control the game, but Pitt’s methodical style could keep them in it.
- Pitt’s Key Strength: Turnover margin, top 10 nationally
- SMU’s Key Weakness: Explosive plays allowed, particularly on broken plays
Pick: Pitt +7.5
Total Prediction: Lean under as both teams’ defenses are effective.
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