Florida vs. Miami: Odds, Total, Picks & How to Watch

The college football season kicks off with a thrilling matchup between the Florida Gators and the Miami Hurricanes. This in-state rivalry game, set to take place in Gainesville, Florida, promises high stakes and intense action. Scheduled for Saturday, August 31st, at 3:30 PM Eastern Time, this game will be broadcast live on ABC.

Where to Watch and Game Time

Date: Saturday, August 31st
Time: 3:30 PM Eastern Time
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
TV Channel: ABC

Betting Odds and Analysis

The Line

Currently, Miami is favored by 2.5 points according to BetUS. Understanding the betting spread is crucial for anyone interested in wagering. A spread bet on Miami means they must win by more than 2.5 points to cover the spread. Conversely, a bet on Florida means they must either win outright or lose by fewer than 2.5 points.

The Total

The market total for this game is set at 55.5 points. The betting total or over/under refers to the combined number of points scored by both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the actual total will be over or under this number.

The Moneyline

While specific moneyline odds were not provided, a moneyline bet involves picking the winner of the game outright. The odds reflect the likelihood of each team winning. Betting on the favorite, Miami, would yield a smaller payout compared to betting on the underdog, Florida.

In-Depth Game Analysis

Let’s delve into the details of this matchup using the provided graphic and additional context.

Team Overview

  • Florida Gators
    • Coach: Billy Napier
    • Overall 247 Talent: 8
    • Power Rating: 29
    • Adjusted Returning Production (Adj Ret Prod): 22
  • Miami Hurricanes
    • Coach: Mario Cristobal
    • Overall 247 Talent: 13
    • Power Rating: 21
    • Adjusted Returning Production (Adj Ret Prod): 54

Offensive and Defensive Comparisons

Florida
  • Offensive Coordinator: Rob Sale
    • Offensive Adjusted Returning Production (Off Adj Ret Prod): 36
    • Average Offensive Rank (Avg Off Rank): 23
  • Defensive Coordinators: Austin Armstrong / Ron Roberts
    • Defensive Adjusted Returning Production (Def Adj Ret Prod): 13
    • Average Defensive Rank (Avg Def Rank): 26
Miami
  • Offensive Coordinator: Shannon Dawson
    • Offensive Adjusted Returning Production (Off Adj Ret Prod): 28
    • Average Offensive Rank (Avg Off Rank): 13
  • Defensive Coordinators: Lance Guidry / Derek Nicholson
    • Defensive Adjusted Returning Production (Def Adj Ret Prod): 83
    • Average Defensive Rank (Avg Def Rank): 26

Key Points to Watch

  1. Miami’s Depth and Talent Miami enters this game with considerable depth, especially on the lines of scrimmage. With Mario Cristobal at the helm, the Hurricanes have a talented roster that includes standout players like Xavier Restrepo at wide receiver and Cam McCormick at tight end. The offensive line, returning four positions, will be crucial in providing stability and protection.
  2. Florida’s Development and Stability Florida has faced criticism and challenges, particularly with publicized recruiting issues. However, under Billy Napier, the Gators have shown signs of improvement. Quarterback Graham Mertz, who showed progress last season, will be key to Florida’s offensive success. The development of playmakers like Eugene Wilson will also be important.
  3. Quarterback Play Both teams feature quarterbacks looking to prove themselves. For Miami, Cam Ward will need to step up against Florida’s new-look secondary. Meanwhile, Graham Mertz will be tasked with leading Florida’s offense against a Miami defense that has its own question marks.
  4. Defensive Performance Florida’s defense, particularly the secondary, was a major issue last season. Ranked 130th in explosive play rate margin, the Gators must improve to contain Miami’s offensive threats. Miami’s defense, under new leadership, will also need to show significant improvement to match up against Florida’s playmakers.
  5. Home Field Advantage Playing in The Swamp, Gainesville, provides a significant home field advantage for Florida. Known for its challenging environment, the stadium will be a test for Miami, especially under the intense Florida heat.

Betting Picks and Predictions

Considering the spread and total, this game presents some interesting betting opportunities:

  • Spread: Miami is favored by 2.5 points. Given Florida’s potential improvements and home field advantage, betting on Florida to cover the spread might be a good choice.
  • Total: The total is set at 55.5 points. With both teams featuring offenses with potential and defenses with questions, betting the over could be a prudent option.
  • Moneyline: Miami is the favorite to win outright. However, Florida’s home field advantage and potential improvements make them a viable underdog bet for those looking to take a risk.

Conclusion

This matchup between Florida and Miami promises to be an exciting start to the college football season. Miami’s depth and talent make them the favorite, but Florida’s home field advantage and potential improvements could turn the tide. As fans and bettors prepare for this game, understanding the nuances of the spread, total, and moneyline bets will enhance the experience.

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Prepare for an exciting start to the college football season with this high-stakes rivalry game!

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