Baylor vs Colorado (Week 4): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

The Big 12 action continues in Week 4 with a high-stakes matchup as the Colorado Buffaloes, led by head coach Deion Sanders, welcome the Baylor Bears to Boulder. Both teams are looking to assert themselves in the conference, and this clash promises an exciting contest with contrasting styles. Colorado’s dynamic offense will face Baylor’s stout defense in a battle of strength on strength.

Here’s everything you need to know about the game, including how to watch, betting odds, and a detailed analysis of what to expect on Saturday night.

TV Channel & Kickoff Time

The Baylor vs Colorado game will be broadcast live on Fox, with an 8:00 PM Eastern Time kickoff. Fans across the country can tune in to catch the next chapter of Coach Prime’s Colorado journey as they face a tough Baylor defense.

• Kickoff Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: Fox

Betting Odds

As of now, Colorado is favored by a narrow 1.5 points at home, making this a tight contest. The total for the game is set at 51 points, reflecting an expectation of moderate scoring. Baylor is available at +105 on the moneyline, meaning they’re slight underdogs but could offer value for bettors expecting an upset.

• Spread: Colorado -1.5
• Moneyline: Colorado -125, Baylor +105
• Total (Over/Under): 51 points

What is the Betting Spread?

The betting spread is a figure set by oddsmakers to even out the betting action between the two teams. In this game, Colorado is favored by 1.5 points. To cover the spread, Colorado must win by 2 points or more. If Baylor wins outright or loses by 1 point, they cover the spread.

What is the Total?

The total, also known as the over/under, is the predicted combined score for both teams. For this game, the total is set at 51 points. Bettors can wager on whether they believe the total points scored will be over or under that number.

What is the Moneyline?

The moneyline is a simple bet on which team will win outright, without factoring in the spread. In this case, Colorado’s moneyline is -125, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100 if Colorado wins. Baylor’s moneyline is +105, meaning a $100 bet would return $105 if Baylor pulls off the victory.

Implied Score Based on Betting Odds

Using the spread and total, the implied final score for this game is approximately Colorado 26, Baylor 25. This suggests a tight game where both teams are expected to score, but with a slight edge to Colorado at home.

Injury Report

Colorado enters this game relatively healthy, with their key players expected to play. Baylor, on the other hand, has some lingering questions at the quarterback position. Sawyer Robertson has been solid in recent games, but the uncertainty surrounding who will start—Robertson or Finn—could impact the Bears’ ability to attack Colorado’s defense effectively.

Both teams have managed injuries well through the season, but the health of the quarterbacks and offensive lines could play a crucial role in how this game unfolds.

In-Depth Game Analysis

This game features an intriguing matchup between Colorado’s high-powered, pass-heavy offense and Baylor’s stingy defense.

Colorado’s Offense vs. Baylor’s Defense

Colorado’s offense, led by quarterback Shedeur Sanders, has been one of the most exciting in the country this season. They rely heavily on the passing game, throwing the ball on 70% of their offensive plays, making them one of the most pass-heavy teams in the country. Sanders has been effective at spreading the ball to a talented group of wide receivers, and Colorado’s ability to stretch the field has been key to their success.

However, Colorado’s offensive line has struggled at times, allowing 8 sacks this season, and they rank in the bottom half of the country in both run and pass-blocking metrics. Baylor’s defense, which ranks 20th in defensive PPA allowed per drive, will look to exploit this weakness and pressure Sanders into making mistakes.

Baylor’s defense has been strong against the pass, ranking 3rd in the nation in PPA allowed per pass. However, they have faced a limited number of pass-heavy teams so far, with much of their success coming against run-focused offenses like Air Force. Colorado’s wide splits and fast tempo will test whether Baylor’s secondary can keep up with their explosive receivers.

Baylor’s Offense vs. Colorado’s Defense

Baylor’s offense has been up and down this season, with both quarterbacks, Finn and Robertson, struggling to establish consistency. Their rushing attack has been their strength, but they’ll be going up against a Colorado defense that has been weak in pass rush but solid in stopping the run.

Colorado’s defense ranks 108th in net points per drive, but their pass rush has been inconsistent. If Baylor can establish the run early, they might be able to control the tempo of the game and keep Colorado’s explosive offense off the field. However, if Colorado can force Baylor into passing situations, their aggressive front seven might be able to disrupt the Bears’ rhythm.

This game could hinge on Baylor’s ability to handle Colorado’s aggressive defensive front and generate explosive plays. Colorado, despite their defensive struggles, creates pressure and forces offenses to make quick decisions. If Baylor cannot get their passing game going, they may struggle to keep up with Colorado’s scoring pace.

Predictions & Picks

This game presents a fascinating contrast of styles. Colorado’s offense thrives on pace, explosiveness, and aggressive play-calling, while Baylor relies on a more methodical approach with a defense that can shut down opposing offenses.

Prediction:
Colorado 28, Baylor 24. Colorado’s high-powered offense should be able to outscore Baylor, but the Bears’ defense will keep it close. Expect a tight contest, but the Buffaloes’ home-field advantage and ability to create big plays should give them the edge.

Pick:
Colorado -1.5. Colorado’s offense will be tough to stop, and while Baylor’s defense is solid, the mismatch in pace and offensive firepower will favor the Buffaloes. The total of 51 points also presents value on the under, as Baylor may try to slow the game down to keep it within reach.

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