Kansas State vs BYU (Week 4): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Kansas State vs BYU (Week 4): Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Week 4 of college football brings us a thrilling matchup as the Kansas State Wildcats head to Provo to face the BYU Cougars in what promises to be an exciting late-night showdown. Kansas State is coming off a dominant performance against Arizona, while BYU earned a solid victory over Wyoming. Both teams are eager to keep their momentum going, making this game a must-watch.

Here’s a detailed breakdown of everything you need to know about the game, including how to watch, betting odds, and in-depth analysis.

TV Channel & Kickoff Time

The Kansas State vs BYU game is scheduled to kick off at 8:30 PM Eastern Time and will be broadcast on FS1. This late-night showdown is the perfect way to close out Saturday’s action with two competitive programs squaring off under the lights at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.

  • Kickoff Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FS1

Betting Odds

Kansas State is currently a 6.5-point favorite on the road against BYU. The total for the game is set at 48 points, and the moneyline for BYU offers +200 for those expecting a home upset. With both teams looking to solidify their early-season success, the betting lines reflect a competitive game.

  • Spread: Kansas State -6.5
  • Moneyline: Kansas State -250, BYU +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 48 points
What is the Betting Spread?

The betting spread is the expected margin of victory set by oddsmakers. Kansas State is favored by 6.5 points, meaning they must win by 7 points or more to cover the spread. If BYU loses by 6 points or fewer, or wins outright, they cover the spread.

What is the Total?

The total, or over/under, is the predicted combined score for both teams. In this game, the total is set at 48 points. Bettors can wager on whether they think the combined score will go over or under that number.

What is the Moneyline?

The moneyline represents a straight-up bet on which team will win. For Kansas State, the moneyline is -250, meaning you would need to bet $250 to win $100. BYU’s moneyline is +200, which means a $100 bet would return $200 if the Cougars win.

Implied Score Based on Betting Odds

Using the spread and total, the implied score for this game is Kansas State 27, BYU 21. This suggests a competitive game, with Kansas State expected to win by a touchdown on the road, but BYU has the ability to keep it close.

Injury Report

Both teams enter the game relatively healthy. Kansas State’s offense is firing on all cylinders, while BYU’s defense has impressed early in the season. Neither team has reported any significant injuries that would drastically impact the outcome of this game, making it a fair fight between two strong squads.

In-Depth Game Analysis

This matchup features a contrast in styles. Kansas State brings a powerful rushing attack and disciplined coaching from Chris Klieman, while BYU relies on its defense and home-field advantage to stifle opponents.

Kansas State’s Offense vs. BYU’s Defense

Kansas State’s offense has been highly efficient, led by quarterback Avery Johnson and running back DJ Giddens. The Wildcats are averaging an impressive 7 yards per carry and rank 9th in the country in PPA per rush. Their ability to create explosive plays in the run game will be key against a BYU defense that has been solid but untested against a rushing attack of Kansas State’s caliber.

BYU’s defense has been the team’s strength, ranking in the top 30 in PPA per pass, but they’ve struggled against the run, ranking 91st in PPA per rush. If BYU can’t contain Kansas State’s ground game, it will be a long night for the Cougars. Kansas State’s offensive line has been dominant, and if they can control the line of scrimmage, it will be difficult for BYU to generate stops.

BYU’s Offense vs. Kansas State’s Defense

BYU’s offense has shown flashes, with solid quarterback play and a balanced attack. However, their biggest test comes against Kansas State’s defense, which has been stout against the run and opportunistic in forcing turnovers. Kansas State’s defense ranks 19th in EPA per rush, and their front seven has consistently disrupted opposing offenses.

BYU quarterback Kedon Slovis will need to take advantage of Kansas State’s pass defense, which ranks 115th in PPA per pass. If BYU can find success through the air, they may be able to keep pace with Kansas State’s high-powered offense. However, Kansas State excels at limiting big plays and forcing teams to grind out drives, which could frustrate BYU’s offensive rhythm.

Key Matchups

  1. Kansas State’s Rushing Attack vs. BYU’s Run Defense
    Kansas State’s powerful rushing attack is the key to their offense. BYU has struggled to stop the run, and if Kansas State can establish the ground game, they will control the clock and wear down BYU’s defense.
  2. BYU’s Passing Game vs. Kansas State’s Secondary
    BYU will need to attack Kansas State’s secondary, which has been vulnerable to the pass. If Slovis can connect on deep throws, BYU could exploit the Wildcats’ defensive weakness and stay competitive.
  3. Chris Klieman’s Road Record
    Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman has an impressive track record, going 40-21 against the spread overall and 23-11 as a favorite. Betting against Klieman, especially on the road, has not been profitable for bettors, and his disciplined coaching will be a factor in this game.

Predictions & Picks

Kansas State comes into this game as a solid road favorite, and while BYU’s home-field advantage is a factor, Kansas State’s balance on both sides of the ball gives them the edge. BYU has overperformed so far this season, but the Wildcats’ running game and disciplined coaching make them the safer pick in this matchup.

Prediction:
Kansas State 28, BYU 20. Kansas State’s rushing attack and defensive discipline will be too much for BYU to handle, and the Wildcats will control the pace of the game en route to a solid road win.

Pick:
Kansas State -6.5. Chris Klieman’s Wildcats are efficient and disciplined, and their ability to dominate the line of scrimmage gives them the edge. The under 48 points is also a strong play, as both teams may struggle to generate enough big plays to push the total higher.

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