College Football Week 10 Picks: Game Analysis, Odds & Where to Watch
College Football Week 10 Picks: Game Analysis, Odds & Where to Watch
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Welcome to the Week 10 College Football breakdown! In this post, we dive deep into this week’s top matchups, covering odds, start times, and viewing information for each game. Stay tuned for expert predictions and where you can catch the action live!
Game 1: Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Texas State Bobcats
- Kickoff Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Spread: Texas State -4
- Moneyline: Texas State (-105), Louisiana (+145)
- Total: 58.5
- Implied Score: 31-27
In-Depth Analysis
The Ragin’ Cajuns enter this matchup with a strong offensive showing. Louisiana ranks 29th on offense but struggles defensively, sitting at 91st. Texas State’s defense, while slightly better at 61st, will face challenges against a high-powered Louisiana offense. Key matchup factors include Louisiana’s struggle on 4th downs and Texas State’s home-field advantage. Louisiana has historically dominated Texas State, winning 11 straight in the series and covering three in a row.
Picks
Experts lean towards Louisiana +4 for this matchup, with a potential outright win.
Game 2: Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
- Kickoff Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
- Spread: Liberty -2.5
- Moneyline: Liberty (-105), Jacksonville State (+110)
- Total: 63.5
- Implied Score: 33-30
In-Depth Analysis
Liberty had a surprising loss to Kennesaw State last week, partly due to a lack of gameplay before this matchup. Meanwhile, Jacksonville State’s quarterback, Tyler Huff, is expected to play but may be less than 100%. Liberty’s rush defense ranks sixth nationally, which poses a big problem for Jacksonville’s run-focused offense. Despite Liberty’s recent woes, they have significant home-field advantages, and their talent depth remains a key factor.
Picks
Liberty -2.5, expecting a bounce-back performance at home.
Game 3: Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ers
- Kickoff Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Spread: Tulane -16
- Moneyline: Tulane (-500), Charlotte (+500)
- Total: 55.5
- Implied Score: 36-20
In-Depth Analysis
Tulane’s strong offense matches up favorably against Charlotte’s weak defense. While Charlotte has been unpredictable, their overall team metrics, particularly on defense, don’t favor them in this matchup. Tulane’s 15th-ranked rushing attack should wear down Charlotte’s defense, which ranks 98th in EPA per Rush. Despite the hefty point spread, Tulane’s running game is likely to dominate.
Picks
Lean towards Tulane -16, with a look at their team total over.
Game 4: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
- Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Spread: Ohio State -3.5
- Moneyline: Ohio State (-142), Penn State (+142)
- Total: 46
- Implied Score: 25-21
In-Depth Analysis
This matchup is pivotal for Big Ten and CFP implications. Penn State’s offensive scheme faces a stiff Ohio State defense, but Ohio State’s offensive line injuries add intrigue. Ohio State’s inability to run effectively against defenses like Penn State’s front seven may shift the game’s momentum. Experts believe that Penn State can exploit Ohio State’s defensive secondary for a close contest, potentially an upset.
Picks
Take Penn State +3.5, with potential for an outright win.
Game 5: UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers
- Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Spread: Memphis -7.5
- Moneyline: Memphis (-105), UTSA (+238)
- Total: 60
- Implied Score: 34-26
In-Depth Analysis
UTSA’s defense has been struggling, which Memphis’ offense is primed to exploit. Memphis has played down to its opponents’ levels in recent games, yet its strong passing game provides an advantage here. This matchup could see Memphis pulling ahead, especially with a strong start against UTSA’s inconsistent defense.
Picks
Memphis -7.5, expecting a solid win from the Tigers.
Game 6: Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orange
- Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: The CW
- Spread: Virginia Tech -4
- Moneyline: Virginia Tech (-175), Syracuse (+155)
- Total: 53.5
- Implied Score: 29-25
In-Depth Analysis
Virginia Tech is poised to control this matchup against Syracuse, which struggles with consistency and turnovers. Syracuse has a significant penalty issue and lacks a reliable ground game, making it challenging to sustain drives. Virginia Tech has an edge in discipline, defense, and fundamentals, factors that could be key in the dome environment against Syracuse.
Picks
Virginia Tech -4 is a solid play as they are expected to cover.
Game 7: Auburn Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
- Kickoff Time: 12:45 PM ET
- TV Channel: SEC Network
- Spread: Auburn -6.5
- Moneyline: Auburn (-260), Vanderbilt (+200)
- Total: 48
- Implied Score: 27-21
In-Depth Analysis
Auburn comes off a morale-boosting win and is ready to host Vanderbilt, but the Commodores’ strategic, methodical playstyle is problematic for Auburn’s turnover-prone tendencies. Vanderbilt’s slower pace and disciplined play may frustrate Auburn, making this game tighter than expected. Look for Vanderbilt to leverage its special teams and field position advantages against an Auburn team still finding its footing.
Picks
Vanderbilt +6.5, expecting a potential cover or close game.
Game 8: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Kickoff Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FS1
- Spread: Minnesota -3
- Moneyline: Minnesota (-140), Illinois (+120)
- Total: 45
- Implied Score: 24-21
In-Depth Analysis
Illinois has struggled defensively against strong opponents, but they face a Minnesota team known for their running game and disciplined approach. With Illinois coming off a blowout and Minnesota looking to build on recent momentum, this game is expected to be a grind. However, Minnesota’s defensive play and coaching edge could give them the edge here.
Picks
Minnesota Team Total Over 23.5 and Illinois +3.
Game 9: Old Dominion Monarchs vs. App State Mountaineers
- Kickoff Time: 2:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Spread: Old Dominion -2.5
- Moneyline: Old Dominion (-105), App State (+115)
- Total: 60.5
- Implied Score: 31.5-29
In-Depth Analysis
Old Dominion’s recent surge has caught attention, and they face an App State team with defensive challenges. ODU’s rushing game and physical play are expected to give them an edge. App State’s defense has struggled against the run, making it hard to keep up with Old Dominion’s consistent offense.
Picks
Old Dominion -2.5 as a road favorite.
Game 10: Army Black Knights vs. Air Force Falcons
- Kickoff Time: 11:30 AM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Spread: Army -23.5
- Total: 37
In-Depth Analysis
This classic matchup between service academies usually leads to a low-scoring affair, as both teams focus on disciplined, ground-heavy attacks. Army’s defense is stronger and should control the pace, but the size of the spread and low scoring potential make this one tricky. If Army can control possessions early, they could cover, but expect a very deliberate game.
Picks
Lean toward the under with an eye on the Army cover at -23.5 if they can build an early lead.
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